- MDmetrix’s new control charts project daily deaths from COVID-19 nationally and by state, revealing which states are flattening the “daily deaths” curve.
- Currently, none of the states with the highest COVID-related death rates—including Washington State, New Jersey, New York, California, Michigan or Louisiana—have flattened the curve.
Whether you’re a health system executive, a grocery store worker, or a concerned parent, Americans everywhere see the daily stats about deaths due to COVID-19—and we’re all left are wondering what the significance is of those numbers. Are we flattening the curve as a nation, and in my state?
Today, MDmetrix—an AI-powered clinical performance management platform company based in Seattle, one of the nation’s first COVID hot spots—has stepped up to the plate to create easy-to-understand national and state-by-state charts that take daily death rate data tracked by The New York Times one step further: The charts give healthcare leaders, clinicians and regular citizens a way to visualize data on COVID deaths and to separate data “signals” from “noise.”
This is important because an initial drop or spike in death rates may or may not be meaningful or predictable. The charts give us a visual that puts the raw data into context, so we know if a change is simply a variation or a predictable trend.
Control Charts Background/Methodology
The MDmetrix charts were developed based on methodology from Lloyd Provost, a leader in the application of control charts for healthcare improvement. Provost, a statistician with Associates in Process Improvement and senior fellow of the Institute for Healthcare Improvement (IHI), is an advisor to MDmetrix. Provost is also the co-author of the seminal text in this field, the Healthcare Data Guide, and has been a sought-after teacher, thinker and consultant for decades. Provost worked with colleagues Rocco Perla and Shannon Provost to apply the control chart method to COVID-19 daily reported death data.
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Source: Hit Consultant